Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.732704 0.841175 0.959453 1.097907 1.255442 1.429022 1.634697
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.603204 0.757228 0.939769 1.171650 1.457962 1.799499 2.237451
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.507227 0.691223 0.926553 1.248576 1.676675 2.225067 2.979662
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.415786 0.611843 0.881057 1.275744 1.837397 2.605392 3.732327
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.353422 0.558447 0.859058 1.328610 2.039679 3.071396 4.675978
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.291855 0.493247 0.807335 1.327960 2.163436 3.444214 5.546114
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.250051 0.449895 0.779938 1.357861 2.336055 3.913027 6.630934
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.207073 0.395607 0.724479 1.331216 2.411363 4.237353 7.532731
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.184938 0.373334 0.718842 1.387366 2.633359 4.832146 8.968552
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.168406 0.358039 0.722531 1.459878 2.894068 5.527784 10.676300
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.148048 0.331056 0.699231 1.476832 3.052910 6.060175 12.159399
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.129253 0.303465 0.669677 1.475794 3.175308 6.538644 13.603029
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.113127 0.278831 0.642701 1.477189 3.306316 7.058623 15.215669
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.099998 0.258353 0.621070 1.486434 3.455444 7.636085 17.027574
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.090564 0.244744 0.612381 1.523025 3.669678 8.377958 19.286905
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.079738 0.225388 0.586866 1.516255 3.785189 8.923819 21.198084
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.072696 0.214380 0.579511 1.551722 4.004288 9.727539 23.791588
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.063920 0.196763 0.552388 1.533256 4.090488 10.239588 25.784732
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.058095 0.186239 0.541816 1.555623 4.281652 11.023129 28.523212
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.050632 0.169220 0.510602 1.517480 4.311449 11.420775 30.378262
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.047527 0.164905 0.514117 1.575772 4.605602 12.513141 34.108199
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.045296 0.162903 0.523993 1.653952 4.966020 13.820913 38.556285
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.041403 0.154546 0.513436 1.670535 5.156775 14.710941 42.026239